Twelve months can change a player's value very quickly.
Saddiq Bey entered last season needing to show that he could rediscover his game after missing the entire 2024-25 campaign recovering from a torn ACL.
He did considerably more than that.
Bey averaged career highs of 17.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists across 72 games for New Orleans, starting 64 of them.
The efficiency improvement was just as important.
His 45.1% shooting from the field was comfortably the best mark of his NBA career, while he made 36.7% of his three-point attempts and 84.1% from the free-throw line.
For a player whose value has always been closely connected to his ability to stretch the floor, that matters.
Now New Orleans has made its decision.
Rather than allow Bey to play out the final year of his existing contract and potentially reach unrestricted free agency next summer, the Pelicans have committed another three years and $55.5 million to him.
That's an average of $18.5 million per season.
And it creates an interesting question.
Are the Pelicans paying Bey after his best season, or securing a productive 27-year-old wing before his price potentially climbs even further?
There are reasons to like the gamble.
Bey has already shown he can score at NBA level. He averaged 16.1 points during his second season in Detroit and once scored 51 points in a game, so last year's production didn't appear from nowhere.
What changed in New Orleans was how efficiently he produced it.
He didn't need an enormous offensive role to reach 17.7 points per game. His turnovers remained low, he rebounded well from the wing and his shooting percentages moved in the right direction.
That makes last season potentially more sustainable than a breakout built purely on increased shot volume.
There is still risk.
One strong season after a major knee injury doesn't guarantee the same production over the next three years, and New Orleans now has to work out exactly how Bey fits alongside the rest of its evolving roster.
But the Pelicans also faced another risk: wait another season, watch Bey reproduce those numbers and potentially have to pay considerably more to keep him.
They've chosen certainty.
The trade kicker is another interesting part of the agreement. It gives Bey additional protection if New Orleans eventually decides to move him, while the Pelicans secure control over a productive wing through what should still be his prime years.
LEAN EDGE VERDICT: New Orleans is betting that Saddiq Bey's breakout was a step forward rather than a one-season spike. After 17.7 points per game on career-best overall shooting, there's a reasonable case for making that bet now instead of allowing him to reach the open market next summer. At $18.5 million per year on average, the deal will look particularly smart if Bey maintains last season's efficiency. The challenge now is proving that his best NBA season wasn't also an outlier.